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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 19:12 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?” at 10% (+1pp in 24h). The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Opinion and Predict.

10%
▲ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$13.8k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.12
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 10¢
No 90¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

PoliticsEconomyRecurring
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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