event5 outcomes

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 15:40 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?” on Polymarket are “50%+” at 100%, “55%+” at 78% (+2pp in 24h) and “60%+” at 22% (-9pp in 24h). The event has $1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$145.6k

vol 24h

$1k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

AIgptTechOpenAIAI Benchmarks

marketselected outcome

50%+

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$17.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026closedresolved · Sep 9, 2026

50%+ · prices over time

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