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Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

“50%+” 100%, “55%+” 100% and “60%+” 62% (-10pp in 24h) on Polymarket as of 15:28 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?”. The event has $84 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
event5 outcomes
vol cum
$145.8k
vol 24h
$84
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
AITechGeminiAI Benchmarks
marketselected outcome
50%+
rank #1 · resolved: yes
100¢
vol cum
$48.8k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline
opened · Jul 23, 2026closedresolved · Oct 14, 2026
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