Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
As of 21:32 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, Gemini, Manifold and Predict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
