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event4 outcomes

Next Kimi K model released by…?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
$14.2k
vol 24h
$1.5k
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIKimiTechBig TechMoonshotAI Releases
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2026
rank #1
China
99¢
0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify. Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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opened · Jul 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31, 2026 · prices over time
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