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Tesla Optimus released this year?
Kalshi·Science and Technology
As of 05:29 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Tesla Optimus released this year?” at 6% (+2pp in 24h). The market has $13.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Tesla Optimus released this year?” on Gemini, priced at 9%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Gemini, Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
6%
▲ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$419.4k
vol 24h
$13.9k
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 6¢
No 94¢
If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Feb 9, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
