Tesla Optimus released this year?

Gemini·Business

As of 14:32 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Gemini prices “Tesla Optimus released this year?” at 10%. The market has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Tesla Optimus released this year?” on Kalshi, priced at 5%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Opinion.

If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Tesla. Read the full contract terms & conditions.