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event2 outcomes

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Predict·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 06:30 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?” on Predict are “December 31” at 16% and “September 30” at 0%. The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion and Manifold.

vol cum
$109.3k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

TechCulture
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
16¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$96.7k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Aug 10, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
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