markets

The first 16 of 16 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

1. US imports Russian diesel by...? — Polymarket, December 31 86%, $58.6k 24h volume.
2. ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $50/MWh 6%, $722 24h volume.
3. How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026? — Kalshi, $4/MTok or below 28%, $616 24h volume.
4. How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026? — Kalshi, $15/MTok or below 5%, $204 24h volume.
5. How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026? — Kalshi, $4/MTok or below 30%, $194 24h volume.
6. Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31? — Polymarket, 3%, $90 24h volume.
7. Aluminum Midwest premium average in November 2026 — Kalshi, 105¢ or above 96%, $141 24h volume.
8. How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash input token price get in 2026? — Kalshi, $1.25/MTok or below 27%, $106 24h volume.
9. How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026? — Kalshi, $8/MTok or below 10%, $90 24h volume.
10. ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $100/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.
11. ERCOT West Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $0/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.
12. How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026? — Kalshi, $25/MTok or below 16%, $0 24h volume.
13. MISO Indiana Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $125/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.
14. PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $100/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.
15. PJM Dominion Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $100/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.
16. PJM Western Hub average real-time power price (Week 44) — Kalshi, Above $100/MWh 0%, $0 24h volume.