event2 outcomes

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 9, 2027

As of 16:50 UTC on 5 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 32% and “Before Sep 1, 2026” at 3%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$601

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 9, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

rank #1

United States

32¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$548

vol 24h

spread

0.07

ends

Jan 9, 2027

If the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announces a formal deferral of at least $50 million in federal Medicaid matching funds for claims submitted by a single U.S. state other than California or Minnesota, based on fraud, waste, abuse, or program-integrity concerns before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 9, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history