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When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jul 1, 2027

As of 23:47 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? ” on Kalshi are “Before Feb 1, 2027” at 86%, “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 78% and “Before Apr 1, 2027” at 0%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$565
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
5
ends
Jul 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Feb 1, 2027
rank #1
86¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$24
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.09
ends
Feb 1, 2027

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 16, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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