Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
As of 00:58 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?” at 3% (+3pp in 24h). The market has $12.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
If a Category 3 or higher hurricane makes landfall in the Northeast United States between October 6, 2026 at 11:30:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.
Covered states, including their islands: Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Maine. NHC's initial operational landfall report governs, subject to the contract's material-error correction rules.
