Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

Kalshi·Science and Technology

As of 01:54 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?” at 3% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $155 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

If Meta releases Llama 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.