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event5 outcomes

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2030

As of 21:57 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2030” at 38%, “Before Jan 1, 2029” at 23% and “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 21% (+16pp in 24h). The event has $1.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Limitless.

vol cum
$296.5k
vol 24h
$1.2k
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 8, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2030
rank #1
United StatesTaiwan
38¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$22.3k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 8, 2030

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jan 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2030 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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