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Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Manifold·Science and Technology
18%
vol cum
M111.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 9999
YES 18¢
NO 82¢

Resolves YES if general consensus is that we are in another AI winter comparable to the AI winters of the 1970s and 1990s Resolves NO if general consensus is that we have realized AGI. Closing date will be moved forward perpetually untill either of the two resolution critera have been met.

timeline
opened · Jan 24, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 9999
Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized? · prices over time
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