event22 outcomes
2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold·Elections·ends Sep 6, 2028
As of 08:23 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” leads “2028 Democratic nominee?” on Manifold at 16%, followed by “Jon Ossoff” at 14% and “Gavin Newsom” at 14%, out of 22 outcomes. The event has M$518 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Gemini, Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
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Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."
2024-us-presidential-electionpolitics-defaultus-politicskamala-harrisdemocratic-party
