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Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?” at 26%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

26%
vol cum
M2.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
YES 26¢
NO 74¢
Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.
timeline
opened · Mar 30, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2029