[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 11:01 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41142) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution. Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship to another while both are in Earth orbit during 2026.