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event7 outcomes

In which year would Zvi confirm that we've entered an "AI winter"?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 2, 2030
vol cum
M19.4k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 2, 2030
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This market will resolve when Zvi Mowshowitz declares that we've now entered an "AI Winter". The declaration has to be serious and not in jest - i.e. an April 1st joke on Twitter wouldn't count. The declaration can be made on Zvi's Twitter, Substack or any other social media platform reliably known to be controlled by Zvi. This market will resolve to N/A if Zvi stops being active on social media for a period of at least 6 months.

ai-alignmentaiai-safety
marketselected outcome
2030+ or never
rank #1
72¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M2.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2030
timeline
opened · Oct 26, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2030
2030+ or never · prices over time
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