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Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
Manifold·Science and Technology
United States
As of 01:09 UTC on 7 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?” at 71%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Opinion and Kalshi.
71%
vol cum
M7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2035
YES 71¢
NO 29¢
Inspired by https://xkcd.com/893/. Resolves YES when a human sets foot on the moon or NO when there are no longer any living humans who have set foot on the moon, whichever happens first. Closing date will be extended as needed. [image]
timeline
opened · Jul 5, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2035
