marketsingle market
Will we get AGI before 2027?
6%
vol cum
M8.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 6¢
NO 94¢
AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level. Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2026 [link preview]
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opened · Aug 25, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2026