p|datav0.1news188
HomeMarketsHubsNews188MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsNews188MapMonitor
theme
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026
markets·Science and Technology
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Manifold·Science and Technology
8%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M7.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 1, 2027
YES 8¢
NO 92¢

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience. Resolves as true if such a system is created and publicly announced before July 1st 2027 Here are markets with the same criteria: @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202-203f18122627 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202-cc476ae11c36 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2027 (this question) @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2028@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2029 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-203 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-203-18f65a39a6d2 Yearwise markets: @/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 Related markets: @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 Other questions: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05 Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AGI_circuit_board.png

timeline
opened · Nov 28, 2023opencloses · Oct 1, 2027
prices over time · Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027? highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
yes17¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
yes25¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before 2027?
yes8¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before 2037?
yes68¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before 2031?
yes48¢▲ 2.2pp
M42 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will we get AGI before 2047?
yes83¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market