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markets·Science and Technology
opentrade on Manifold ↗
event28 outcomes

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
W
vol cum
M181.2k
vol 24h
M49
outcomes
28
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 28

This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest. See the other manifold questions here [image]Resolution criteria Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs. If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue. If there are conflicting reports, the resolver will use their best judgment to determine which is more reliable. Eli Lifland is responsible for final judgment on resolution decisions. Buckets are left-inclusive: e.g., $50-60B includes $50.0B but not $60.0B.

aitechnology-default2026-ai-forecasting-survey-by-ai-di
marketselected outcome
Other
rank #1
O
23¢
▲ 0.1pp
24h change
vol cum
M20.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Jan 18, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
prices over time · Other highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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