opentrade on
↗
event2 outcomes
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?

vol cum
M10.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2045
outcomesclick to inspect →
Joe Biden and Donald Trump are the two oldest candidates to ever run for the US presidency. They have both passed the median life expectancy in the US (77.26 years). Both have publicly displayed signs of cognitive decline and both have already experienced declining health from the demands of the presidency. This market resolves based on the person's age when they expire.
us-politicspolitics-default2024-us-presidential-electionhealthmental-health
marketselected outcome
Donald Trump
rank #1
United States
67¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2045
timeline
opened · Mar 9, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2045
Donald Trump · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
yes15¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ivanka Trump3¢▼ 0.7ppRahm Emanuel7¢· 0.0ppPete Buttigieg7¢▲ 6.0pp
+69 others
$13.5k 24h · 72 markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028?
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson76¢JD Vance23¢Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12¢
+8 others
$98 24h · 11 markets
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
yes25¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Glenn Youngkin0¢▲ 0.1ppJamie Dimon1¢▲ 0.2ppGavin Newsom7¢▼ 0.1pp
+125 others
$727.5k 24h · 128 markets
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Gavin Newsom10¢▲ 0.1ppKamala Harris3¢· 0.0ppOther29¢· 0.0pp
+58 others
M4 24h · 61 markets