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Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2045
vol cum
M10.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2045
outcomesclick to inspect →

Joe Biden and Donald Trump are the two oldest candidates to ever run for the US presidency. They have both passed the median life expectancy in the US (77.26 years). Both have publicly displayed signs of cognitive decline and both have already experienced declining health from the demands of the presidency. This market resolves based on the person's age when they expire.

us-politicspolitics-default2024-us-presidential-electionhealthmental-health
marketselected outcome
Donald Trump
rank #1
United States
67¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2045
timeline
opened · Mar 9, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2045
Donald Trump · prices over time
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