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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Manifold·World
Israel

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?” at 21%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

21%
vol cum
M112k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2028
YES 21¢
NO 79¢

In the current South African lawsuit against Israel.

timeline
opened · Jan 3, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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