event4 outcomes
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2031
As of 16:39 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, “Biden” leads “Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?” on Manifold at 69%, followed by “Trump” at 18% and “Putin” at 10%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
M29.4k
vol 24h
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outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →
They're all in their eighth or ninth decades!
politics-defaultrussiachinavladimir-putinthe-life-of-biden