marketsingle market
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
United States
86%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M22.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 28, 2027
YES 86¢
NO 14¢
Based on this article: https://www.theregister.com/AMP/2023/11/23/blue_origin_glenn_rocket_mars/ For this market I’m defining “Reaching Mars” as being captured into an orbit around Mars. The orbit has to be stable OR if it’s unstable it has to be descending towards the Martian surface If it’s unstable and gets slingshot out into interplanetary space then it will not count. I’ll indefinitely push market close out until this resolves Yes or No.
timeline
opened · Nov 24, 2023opencloses · Dec 28, 2027