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Will we get AGI before 2028?

Manifold·Science and Technology
W
20%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M26.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2027
YES 20¢
NO 80¢

AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level. Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2027 [link preview]

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opened · Aug 25, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2027
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