Will we get AGI before 2028?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 00:51 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will we get AGI before 2028?” at 17%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.

AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level. Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2027 [link preview]