Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

Manifold·Science and Technology

ChinaUnited States

As of 23:20 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?” at 40%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Opinion.

40%

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M16.1k

vol 24h

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Jan 1, 2035

Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.