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P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 13:30 UTC on 5 May 2026, Manifold prices “P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?” at 50%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Opinion and Polymarket.

50%
vol cum
M4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2050
YES 50¢
NO 50¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Dec 12, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2050
P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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