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Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?” at 16%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

16%
vol cum
M11k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 16¢
NO 84¢
As of market creation, the longest range EV is the Lucid Air car at around 500 miles. The Tesla cybertruck and semi also both advertise a range of around 500 miles, though it remains to be seen if those claims will be true.
timeline
opened · Dec 12, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2030