🚘 When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?
As of 13:29 UTC on 5 May 2026, “2030 - 2040” leads “🚘 When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?” on Manifold at 50%, followed by “Before 2030” at 49% and “Never / 2040 or after ” at 1%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

In what year will global sales of EVs exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines? For the purposes of this market, hybrids don’t count towards either category. Resolves based on analysis by Bloomberg or any other reliable media outlet that crunches sales globally and produces a report. Background: https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1133234_report-globally-internal-combustion-car-sales-have-already-peaked