pdatanews295
event3 outcomes

🚘 When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2031

As of 13:29 UTC on 5 May 2026, “2030 - 2040” leads “🚘 When will global EV sales exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines?” on Manifold at 50%, followed by “Before 2030” at 49% and “Never / 2040 or after ” at 1%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M4.6k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →

In what year will global sales of EVs exceed those of vehicles with internal combustion engines? For the purposes of this market, hybrids don’t count towards either category. Resolves based on analysis by Bloomberg or any other reliable media outlet that crunches sales globally and produces a report. Background: https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1133234_report-globally-internal-combustion-car-sales-have-already-peaked

technology-defaultevteslaelectric-vehicles
marketselected outcome
2030 - 2040
rank #1
50¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M50
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
timeline
opened · Feb 4, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
2030 - 2040 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata