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Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
ChinaTaiwan
40%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M10.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 40¢
NO 60¢
Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu. [image]China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a bargaining chip, as salami tactics, or as part of an invasion or naval blockade. Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands before 2030? Same question except: before end of 2024 before end of 2025 before end of 2026 before end of 2027 before end of 2028
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opened · Nov 17, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030