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Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
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Dec 31, 2040
YES 87¢
NO 13¢
Some people are optimistic about fusion, especially given recent progress. Initial probability is still super low here anyways because fusion power has been "soon" many times in the past. Engineering breakeven means that the reaction generates enough excess energy to power itself, and is explained in this wiki article.
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opened · Jul 13, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2040