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Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Manifold·Science and Technology
20%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M10k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Mar 1, 2031
YES 20¢
NO 80¢

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1). Questions with the same criteria: @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before (this question) @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13 Numeric market: @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors Other reference points for fusion reactors: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3 @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c Other questions for 2031: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2031 @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec @/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before @/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have @/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b @/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be @/RemNi/discovery-of-matter-outside-of-our @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031 @/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2031 Different countries: @/RemNi/will-the-usa-acquire-a-fusion-react@/RemNi/will-china-acquire-a-fusion-reactor @/RemNi/will-the-uk-acquire-a-fusion-reacto @/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-fusion-reactors Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

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opened · Jan 17, 2024opencloses · Mar 1, 2031
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