Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Manifold·Science and Technology

United States

As of 01:03 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” at 4% (+1pp in 24h). The market has M$120 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” on Opinion, priced at 19%. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Opinion, Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve YES if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, such as the President) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.