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event2 outcomes

Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Mar 25, 2050

As of 13:28 UTC on 5 May 2026, “The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first” leads “Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?” on Manifold at 54%, followed by “The Moon will get a time zone first” at 46%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.

vol cum
M4.2k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
2
ends
Mar 25, 2050
outcomesclick to inspect →

ESA has expressed interest in having a coordinated time on the moon, as highlighted in this market: https://manifold.markets/Ernie/will-the-moon-have-its-own-time-zon?r=dGhlbWlnaHR5c2FsbW9u Currently on the Earth, there are 38 different offsets from UTC in use**, with the most recent change occurring in 2015 (one was lost). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_zone **The number 38 represents the number of different "Standard Times". I will ignore Daylight Savings/Summer time for the purposes of resolving the market.

timekeepingspacetechnology-defaultscience-default
marketselected outcome
The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first
rank #1
54¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M0
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Mar 25, 2050
timeline
opened · Mar 18, 2024opencloses · Mar 25, 2050
The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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