Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Manifold odds for "Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?": The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first 54%, The Moon will get a time zone first 46% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 3/25/2050.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?

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