event3 outcomes

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Polymarket·Culture·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 15:14 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2027” at 45%, “June 30, 2027” at 27% and “December 31, 2026” at 5% (+3pp in 24h). The event has $69.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$1.1M

vol 24h

$69.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

CultureSpaceXSpaceScience

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2027

rank #1

United States

45¢

vol cum

$106

vol 24h

spread

0.71

ends

Jan 1, 2028

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

timeline

opened · Jun 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

December 31, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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