Will China beat the USA to Mars?

Manifold·World

ChinaUnited States

As of 00:51 UTC on 5 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will China beat the USA to Mars?” at 33%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

33%

vol cum

M13.2k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2040

Resolves yes if China lands a person on Mars before the USA does. The person has to set foot on Mars for it to qualify.