p|datav0.1news196
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will China beat the USA to Mars?

Manifold·Science and Technology
ChinaUnited States
33%
vol cum
M13.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2040
YES 33¢
NO 67¢

Resolves yes if China lands a person on Mars before the USA does. The person has to set foot on Mars for it to qualify.

timeline
opened · Feb 22, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2040
Will China beat the USA to Mars? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Will China land men on the moon before the USA?
yes41¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
yes22¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will NASA bring back Mars samples to Earth before China?
yes52¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
yes26¢▼ 1.0pp
$4 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
yes36¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
yes34¢▲ 4.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market