event12 outcomes
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Oct 17, 2029
As of 05:19 UTC on 29 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?” on Manifold are “Second half 2028” at 45%, “First half 2028” at 40% and “Second half 2027” at 35%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
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Based off (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)Resolves YES to each half-year this is possible. Resolves NO to each half year its not possible.
technical-ai-timelinesai-impactsaiai-media-creation