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event12 outcomes
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
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Oct 17, 2029
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Based off (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)Resolves YES to each half-year this is possible. Resolves NO to each half year its not possible.
technical-ai-timelinesai-impactsaiai-media-creation
marketselected outcome
Second half 2028
rank #1
41¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
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Oct 17, 2029
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opened · Oct 10, 2023opencloses · Oct 17, 2029
Second half 2028 · prices over time
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