marketsingle market
Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?
Manifold·Politics
United StatesRussian Federation
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?” at 18%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.
18%
vol cum
M27.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 18¢
NO 82¢
This market will resolve when either Joe Biden or Vladimir Putin is pronounced dead, or on 1st January 2030 if both remain alive. Apr 1, 11:06pm: In the unlikely event that both men are still alive on 1st January 2030, the market will be resolved as void (N/A).
timeline
opened · Mar 31, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2030