Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Manifold·Climate and Weather

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?” at 18%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Opinion.

18%

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M14.3k

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Dec 17, 2045

Are we DOOMED or will Bill Gates save us? If global warming is under 2°C at the end of 2045 this resolves YES, otherwies NO.