marketsingle market
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
Manifold·World
ChinaTaiwan
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?” at 17%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket, priced at 10%. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.
17%
vol cum
M23.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2028
YES 17¢
NO 83¢
More detailed and specific qualifications for an invasion will be clarified in updates/comments to this post as users find appropriate.
timeline
opened · Mar 24, 2024opencloses · Jan 2, 2028
