Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
As of 14:00 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Limitless and Kalshi.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.