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Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
United StatesColombia

As of 14:00 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Limitless and Kalshi.

3%
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$154.8k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 3¢
No 97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

PoliticsVenezuelaGeopoliticsColombiaTrump
timeline
opened · Jan 5, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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