EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Polymarket·Economy

European Union

As of 17:38 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “EU debt downgrade before 2027?” at 18% (+1pp in 24h). The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

18%

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.6k

vol 24h

$0

spread

0.15

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.