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event2 outcomes

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2028
vol cum
$5.5k
vol 24h
$5.5k
outcomes
2
ends
Dec 31, 2028
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SpaceXspace explorationstarshipBig TechTechlaunchElon MuskSpace
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2027?
rank #1
53¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$16
vol 24h
$15
spread
0.02
ends
Dec 31, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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opened · Jun 11, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2027
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