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event2 outcomes

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 04:45 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2027” at 60% (-8pp in 24h) and “December 31, 2026” at 3%. The event has $199 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?” on Predict, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Predict, Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$75k
vol 24h
$199
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
SpaceXSpacelaunchstarshipElon Muskspace explorationTechBig Tech
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2027
rank #1
60¢
▼ 8.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$27.3k
vol 24h
$199
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Jun 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
December 31, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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