Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
As of 04:40 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 22% (-29pp in 24h) and “December 31” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion and Myriad.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.