Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Polymarket·World

North KoreaSouth Korea

As of 11:46 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?” at 3%. The market has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket and Manifold.

3%

▼ 0.2pp

24h change

vol cum

$452.7k

vol 24h

$2.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.