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When will any company achieve AGI?
·Business·ends Jan 8, 2031vol cum
$125.7k
vol 24h
$1.6k
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 8, 2031
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showing 5 of 13
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Before Jan 1, 2030
rank #1
90¢
▲ 11.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Jan 8, 2030
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2030 · prices over time
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similar markets
suggested by pdataA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
North America83¢· 0.0ppAsia12¢· 0.0ppEurope4¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
M0 24h · 5 markets
kalshiWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 202866¢▲ 5.8ppBefore 202724¢▲ 1.0ppBefore 203067¢▲ 0.9pp
$17.3k 24h · 3 markets
Which company will create AGI first?
Anthropic33¢· 0.0ppOpenAI19¢· 0.0ppUS Government10¢· 0.0pp
+17 others
M0 24h · 20 markets
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
yes36¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Will we get AGI before 2030?
yes50¢
M272 24h · 0 markets
Will we get AGI before 2040?
yes72¢
M0 24h · 1 market