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When will any company achieve AGI?
·Business·ends Jan 8, 2031vol cum
$58.7k
vol 24h
$589
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 8, 2031
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showing 5 of 13
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Before Jan 1, 2030
rank #1
72¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 8, 2030
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2030
prices over time · Before Jan 1, 2030 highlighted
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similar markets
suggested by pdataA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
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kalshiWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
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Which company will create AGI first?
Anthropic26¢· 0.0ppDeepMind23¢· 0.0ppOpenAI17¢· 0.0pp
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M0 24h · 20 markets
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
yes36¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Will we get AGI before 2030?
yes40¢▲ 1.5pp
M342 24h · 1 market
Will we get AGI before 2040?
yes72¢· 0.0pp
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