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event13 outcomes

When will any company achieve AGI?

Kalshi·Business·ends Jan 8, 2031

As of 19:08 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “When will any company achieve AGI?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2030” at 81%, “Before Jan 1, 2031” at 78% and “Before Jan 1, 2029” at 77%. The event has $167 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$246.2k
vol 24h
$167
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 8, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 13
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2030
rank #1
81¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$4.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 8, 2030

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Mar 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2030 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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