Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date
As of 13:40 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 19 markets in “Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date” on Manifold are “Before March 2027” at 80% (+30pp in 24h), “Before February 2027” at 78% (+28pp in 24h) and “Before January 2027” at 72% (+22pp in 24h). The event has M$507 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Qwen 4.0', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Qwen 4, will count for the purpose of this market. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @8AyI5Np5yl @OchSUnInIq (this market) @2OzL6Q56y8 @2CqdhIO9cU @AzzEpzA8ys @ntStglnQz0 @RlI6hyuNpU @2Rh2t5hALp @NONz6Ntycp @l9lRst5288 @ORA9UAlgdI @QL5hAdgQld @8d2z2tUgsu @5lA5APSyPy @shslZstnCN @tO96p5USgQ @NlZyqghLqQ @cc5SnN5St2
